2026-05-13

# My P(doom) seems to have gone up

Disclaimer
 - **Quick Note**

Main
 - I am not prioritising making a super long post right now, but I do now think P(human extinction, conditional on ASI built) is significantly higher than the 33% figure I've been mentioning for the past year. Might make a proper post sometime, or might not, doesn't seem super decision-relevant to me but might be to others.