2026-03-22
Why world government?
Disclaimer
- Quick Note
- Contains politically sensitive info
Main
- Currently there is escalating polarisation between anti-ASI and pro-AI (and between anti-AI and pro-AI) factions in the US. Cycles of mutual escalation of polarisation have already been seen multiple times in the US already, be it with the black lives matter stuff, or cancel culture, or whatever. Even if the anti-AI people win the culture war, they will have to hold on to a frontier tightly while polarisation possibly continues.
- On the margin, I clearly believe that more polarisation is good actually. I think anti-ASI movement needs to get more emotional and more aggresssive. I even contemplated the propaganda value of assassination attempts and cyberattacks, they raise the intensity of people's emotions on both sides of the conflict.
- If you could just build a world government, ofcourse there will still be polarisation between pro-AI and anti-AI factions.
- Fixing polarisation is not the reason to build a world government.
- I think the best reason for world government is just the old and boring reason. US-China arms race towards ASI is bad, US-China coordination would be good, and US-China coordination becomes much easier when you have an effective world government that has a World Congress and a World military and similar, as opposed to US and China having independent militaries and being ready to escalate war rapidly.
- Federalist papers again come to mind. You need a base of power to threaten mass violence, yes, but once you have this base of power, it is also much better to have some civil process that has actual power (beyond giving recommendations) where both parties can agree to, so that players don't have to switch to mass violence so quickly. In worst case they will still have to, but in most cases, no. This is basically a major reason why they built a federal govt on top of the states.
Update
- It seems way easier to merge two democratic states together, than to merge a democracy and a dictatorship.
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